Quote of the Day.

No matter what you get, you’re going to get a piece of American history. Just think of it as a little bit of Americana….. with a bayonet lug.

– “Barney” from a comment at Bad Dogs and Such on CMP rifles.

Hell yeah!

Sales of the IBMeraphim open on July 7. My order’s going out FedEx.

Iron Man ROCKS!.

My wife and I just got back from seeing Iron Man. I also just read Kyle Smith’s review of the film at Pajamas Media.

Oh, please. Enough with the “Hollywood hates America” paranoia. Look, we all know that a bunch of people in Hollywood do, but not every film coming out of Tinsel Town has anti-Americanism undertones. (It’s not paranoia when they really are out to get you, but it is paranoia where you see them where they ain’t.)

First: The special effects in this film enhance – make it possible, in fact – but do not overwhelm the film.

Second: Robert Downey Jr. is outstanding, and the rest of the supporting cast ain’t bad, either. Gwyneth Paltrow has never looked better. Somebody needs a Oscar nomination for casting.

Third: It’s PG-13. Really. Unless you don’t mind your small children watching Robert Downey Jr. rolling around in bed with a hot blonde (who gets up the next morning and wanders around his palatial house in nothing but one of his shirts), leave them at home.

I’m not going to write a review full of spoilers, but I take exception to this line from Smith’s review:

You come to Iron Man to see a bullet-proof one-man flying tank, not hear a Ralph Nader lecture on how American industry is responsible for all the wars in the world.

Excuse me? Did we see the same film? Downey’s character had witnessed a bunch of American soldiers killed with weapons that had his company’s name on them. He had a negative reaction to that, and it’s understandable and well-played.

I won’t comment on the final fight scene – I didn’t see Transformers, so I don’t know how that film played out. I will say I thought it was terrific and I’d like to see it again.

The whole film (with the exception of the initial battle scene) was a lot of fun. I strongly recommend this film to anyone who likes the genre.

Electrical Engineering Geekery!


Or: One Step Closer to Skynet!

OK, this is just cool. As most of you know I’m an electrical engineer, so I find this kind of thing fascinating.

We’ve found the fourth fundamental electrical component.

Up until recently we’ve had just three: The resistor, the capacitor, and the inductor. Each works with the forces of electricity – charge, current, voltage, and magnetic flux – differently, and each acts in a complimentary manner with the others to allow us to do interesting and useful things. Back in 1971 a UC Berkely engineer predicted that there should be a fourth component, just to fulfill the symmetry of the forces of electricity. He predicted the behavior of that fourth component based on the behaviors of the other three, and he even tried to make one by combining the other three and some transistors, but ended up giving up.

He did, however, name the component: the memristor.

The really interesting thing that he predicted about the memristor is what separates it from the other three fundamental components, and is the source of its name – the memristor has a memory that is fundamental to its existence. It would “remember” what happened to it last. None of the other three components can do that.

Enter the nano-scale world of microcircuitry.

Suddenly the “memristor effect” turns up, and it screws up things for people who don’t know about it, or understand what they’re seeing.

As the famous saying goes: It isn’t when someone shouts “EUREKA!” that great scientific discoveries occur, it’s when you mumble quietly to yourself, “That’s odd…”

A memristor is a device that changes its resistance based on the direction in which current flows through it. In one direction, the resistance goes down. In the other, the resistance goes up. Turn off the current flow, the resistance stops changing – and stays right where it’s at.

Memory.

From the article:

(IEEE Fellow and nonlinear-circuit-theory pioneer Leon) Chua calls the HP work a paradigm shift; he likens the addition of the memristor to the circuit design arsenal to adding a new element to the periodic table: for one thing, “now all the EE textbooks need to be changed,” he says.

Chua is the engineer who postulated the existence of the memristor. I think he’s right.

And I think it will get him a Nobel Prize.

The memristor’s memory has consequences: the reason computers have to be rebooted every time they are turned on is that their logic circuits are incapable of holding their bits after the power is shut off. But because a memristor can remember voltages, a memristor-driven computer would arguably never need a reboot. “You could leave all your Word files and spreadsheets open, turn off your computer, and go get a cup of coffee or go on vacation for two weeks,” says Williams. “When you come back, you turn on your computer and everything is instantly on the screen exactly the way you left it.”

The ultimate in non-volatile RAM.

But here’s the part that really got my attention:

(HP senior fellow Stanley) Williams is in talks with several neuroscience/engineering labs that are pursuing the goal of building devices that emulate neural systems. Chua says that synapses, the connections between neurons, have some memristive behavior. Therefore, a memristor would be the ideal electronic device to emulate a synapse.

By redesigning certain types of circuits to include memristors, Williams expects to obtain the same function with fewer components, making the circuit itself less expensive and significantly decreasing its power consumption. In fact, he hopes to combine memristors with traditional circuit-design elements to produce a device that does computation in a non-Boolean fashion. “We won’t claim that we’re going to build a brain, but we want something that will compute like a brain,” Williams says. They think they can abstract “the whole synapse idea” to do essentially analog computation in an efficient manner. “Some things that would take a digital computer forever to do, an analog computer would just breeze through,” he says.

The HP group is also looking at developing a memristor-based nonvolatile memory. “A memory based on memristors could be 1000 times faster than magnetic disks and use much less power,” Williams says, sounding like a kid in a candy store.

See? Skynet!

Now, think about that in conjunction with this piece Instapundit pointed to earlier today: Where Are They? Why I hope the search for extraterrestrial life finds nothing.

In that piece, author Nick Bostrom postulates that the reason SETI and its ancestors have never found evidence of another intelligent species in the universe is because there aren’t any – and that’s a good thing – because if there were, they would have already overrun us in their expansion. That we haven’t seen anyone is indicative of the rarity of intelligent life due to what he calls the “Great Filter”:

We have every reason to believe that the observable universe contains vast numbers of solar systems, including many with planets that are Earth-like, at least in the sense of having masses and temperatures similar to those of our own orb. We also know that many of these solar systems are older than ours.

From these two facts it follows that the evolutionary path to life-forms capable of space colonization leads through a “Great Filter,” which can be thought of as a probability barrier. (I borrow this term from Robin Hanson, an economist at George Mason University.) The filter consists of one or more evolutionary transitions or steps that must be traversed at great odds in order for an Earth-like planet to produce a civilization capable of exploring distant solar systems. You start with billions and billions of potential germination points for life, and you end up with a sum total of zero extraterrestrial civilizations that we can observe. The Great Filter must therefore be sufficiently powerful–which is to say, passing the critical points must be sufficiently improbable–that even with many billions of rolls of the dice, one ends up with nothing: no aliens, no spacecraft, no signals. At least, none that we can detect in our neck of the woods.

Now, just where might this Great Filter be located? There are two possibilities: It might be behind us, somewhere in our distant past. Or it might be ahead of us, somewhere in the decades, centuries, or millennia to come.

He’s betting on “in our past,” because, he says:

If the Great Filter is indeed behind us, meaning that the rise of intelligent life on any one planet is extremely improbable, then it follows that we are most likely the only technologically advanced civilization in our galaxy, or even in the entire observable universe. (The observable universe contains approximately 1022 stars. The universe might well extend infinitely far beyond the part that is observable by us, and it may contain infinitely many stars. If so, then it is virtually certain that an infinite number of intelligent extraterrestrial species exist, no matter how improbable their evolution on any given planet. However, cosmological theory implies that because the universe is expanding, any living creatures outside the observable universe are and will forever remain causally disconnected from us: they can never visit us, communicate with us, or be seen by us or our descendants.)

The other possibility is that the Great Filter is still ahead of us. This would mean that some great improbability prevents almost all civilizations at our current stage of technological development from progressing to the point where they engage in large-scale space colonization. For example, it might be that any sufficiently advanced civilization discovers some tech­nology–perhaps some very powerful weapons tech­nology–that causes its extinction.

This was the fascinating idea behind a not very well written science-fiction novel from the late 1980’s, The Toolmaker Koan. A koan is a buddhist thought-puzzle. In this case the puzzle is “why do all intelligent species rise to the level of toolmaker, then make tools that wipe themselves out?”

I thought the juxtaposition of these two pieces today was quite interesting. Perhaps we have just discovered the seeds for real “artificial intelligence” that can pass the Turing Test.

And possibly the seeds of our own “Great Filter”?

Your Government at Work.

A piece by my favorite Pulitzer prize-winning political cartoonist, Mike Ramirez:

Ayup.

Now, read this. Excerpt:

Members of Congress complain loudly about high oil profits ($40.6 billion for Exxon Mobil last year) but frustrate those companies’ desire to use those profits to explore and produce in the United States. Getting access to oil elsewhere is increasingly difficult. Governments own three-quarters or more of proven reserves. Perversely, higher prices discourage other countries from approving new projects. Flush with oil revenue, countries have less need to expand production. Undersupply and high prices then feed on each other.

Quote of the Day.

For generations our primary vision of a dystopian future has been that of Orwell’s 1984. This was a fundamentally “masculine” nightmare of fascist brutality. But with the demise of the Soviet Union and the vanishing memory of the great twentieth-century fascist and communist dictatorships, the nightmare vision of 1984 is slowly fading away. In its place, Aldous Huxley’s Brave New World is emerging as the more prophetic book. As we unravel the human genome and master the ability to make people happy with televised entertainment and psychoactive drugs, politics is increasingly a vehicle for delivering prepackaged joy. America’s political system used to be about the pursuit of happiness. Now more and more of us want to stop chasing it and have it delivered.

Jonah Goldberg, Liberal Fascism, p. 20

Couldn’t let that one pass unquoted.

On the Next Überpost.

Yes, I know I’ve been promising it for a while, but so far it’s gone through three iterations and I still don’t have it hammered out to a conclusion I can live with. This one’s very complex, and complicated by the fact that I’m currently reading Liberal Fascism which plays directly on the topic I’m writing about.

So I’m going to shelve it (again) until I can complete Liberal Fascism and get all my metaphorical ducks in a row. It seems like every day I find some new news article or old archived post by someone that I bookmark and stick in the file for this piece.

I think this one’s going to be long, even for me.

The current working title, if you’re interested, is “The George Orwell Daycare Center,” and it’s a much reworked and very extended takeoff from an earlier post, Philosophy melded with a more recent one, Human Reconstruction, the Healing of Souls, and the Remaking of Society, with a lot of other stuff mixed in, and a little RCOB thrown in for spice.

In the mean time, short filler posts. Sorry.

Yes, Exactly

From the Toronto Star“A look beyond the handgun ban”:

David Kennedy, an anthropologist at the John Jay College of Criminal Justice at the City University of New York, is the godfather of this approach. In 1996, when he was a professor at Harvard, Kennedy launched the Boston Gun Project, the first intervention of its kind. It reduced gun crime in the city by 60 per cent. Since then, it has blossomed to a number of cities across the U.nited States.

Kennedy views bans, like the one Miller is pushing for, as a symptom of the problem, not a cure. “For people desperately searching for a solution, it seems like it makes sense,” says Kennedy. “What they don’t understand is that there are better tools that don’t require law to implement, and are practically cookbook and off-the-shelf.”

Chicago’s Project Safe Neighbourhoods is close to Kennedy’s prescription (he helped advise on the project); Cincinnati’s Initiative to Reduce Violence is its full manifestation. In Cincinnati, gun-related homicides spiked in 2006 to 89, more than double the annual average, since 1991, of 43.

Kennedy’s research team unpacked what he calls typical trends: They identified 69 distinct street groups, comprising about 1,000 people. Of the 89 homicides, these 1,000 people – less than half a per cent of the city’s population – were connected to more than 75 per cent of them.

Identifying the problem makes the solution relatively simple, Kennedy says. “If we change the behaviour of these people, we solve the problem.”

(Emphasis mine.) Precisely what I’ve been saying since I started this blog. In America, and I assume pretty much worldwide, the vast majority of violent crime is committed by a tiny percentage of the population, almost all of whom have prior criminal records. As I have noted here in the past, American homicide rates are heavily skewed by the fact that young, black, urban males – who make up less than 13% of America’s population – commit and are the victims of well over half the homicides America suffers each year. And on top of that, the young, black, urban males that actually commit the murders are a tiny fraction of that 13%.

But the political response to this is “gun control”?

As SayUncle says, “Gun control is what you do instead of something.”

But the philosophy says the number of guns is the problem, not the behavior of a tiny, identifiable group of people, and since the philosophy cannot be wrong, the consistent failure of the “solution” – gun control – cannot be because the wrong path is being pursued. No, no! The failure must be due to improper implementation! The only response must be to do it again, only HARDER!.

(h/t: Say Uncle)

UPDATE and correction: Chris Byrne in comments notes:

Actually, blacks as a whole are about 14% of the population.

Young, male, urban blacks, are about 3% of the population.

Of those, 24% have a felony criminal record.

It’s not about race, it’s just demographics.

He’s right, and I knew that. According to the CDC’s data:

2005 – Total population 296,507,061
Black males 10-34 years old 7,763,680, or 2.62% of the population.

Homicides (all) – 10,438
Black males 10-34 – 5,181,

2.62% of the population, 49.6% of the victims.

One-gun-a-month laws, closing the “gun show loophole,” licensing, registration, “assault weapon” bans, and handgun bans will somehow make this all go away because “the number of guns” in America is the problem.

No it’s not.

Identifying the problem makes the solution relatively simple, Kennedy says. “If we change the behaviour of these people, we solve the problem.”

Yes indeed.

Quote of the Day.

Both campaigns are showing how green they are by filling mailboxes with metric tons of ads printed on the pulped carcasses of dead trees. The airwaves are jammed with promises that Barack will heal the sick and the blind, Hillary will get you a gold house and a rocket car, and both of them are promising they’ll not only slash gas prices and punish rich fat cats, but they’ll also get you a great-paying job and your own personal physician to live at your house and fix what ails you for free, Free, FREE!
Tam, from Misunderstanding the concept

Read the whole thing, because she’s bang-on about what the job of President is supposed to be limited to.

And McCain? His only saving grace is he’s not promising you your own personal physician. Like I said, he’s the least objectionable repulsive Democrat in the race.