“America’s Most Trusted” Doesn’t Mean Much

In connection with the Orson Scott Card piece referenced below, and my earlier piece on the Bush administration’s policy of ignoring the major media, the VodkaPundit has a very good piece up on the Pew Research study of news audience attitudes. Money quote:

For all intents and purposes, more than half of the populace (everybody except partisan Democrats, and even their numbers for credibility are nothing for most of the press to brag about) has written off the vast majority of the national press. And they’re doing so because they believe that the press has written them off.

Things have gotten to the point where the President of the United States sees no reason not to ignore the networks and the New York Times. If the coin of your realm is trust, and influence is what you buy with that coin, what do today’s viewership realities say about the state of the realm?

RTWT. And the comments.

(Via Instapundit, who’s still posting while on vacation. He’s a blogging animal!)

This is Why You Must Be Very, VERY Careful When You Reload

This used to be a Marlin Guide Gun in .45-70, before it KABOOOOOOM!ed

My guess is either the wrong powder, or a double-charge. I lean towards the double-charge. Smokeless powders don’t take up much room in cases designed for blackpowder. There is no evidence of a plugged barrel.

The shooter suffered relatively minor injuries to his left (supporting) arm from metal fragments. He’s OK.

And damned lucky.

Why Character Matters

Mikhail Gorbachev wrote an op-ed in today’s New York Times (via Kiwi Pundit). Here are the money quotes:

True, Reagan was a man of the right. But, while adhering to his convictions, with which one could agree or disagree, he was not dogmatic; he was looking for negotiations and cooperation. And this was the most important thing to me: he had the trust of the American people.

—

A true leader, a man of his word and an optimist, he traveled the journey of his life with dignity and faced courageously the cruel disease that darkened his final years.

(My emphasis)

Now, compare and contrast this with the projected Democrat nominee for the office of President.

More Cut-Through-The-B.S. from Orson Scott Card

(Via More Eclipse Ramblings)

Orson Scott Card is an author of a number of science fiction novels, writes an opinion column for The Ornery American, is a devout Mormon, and is a classical liberal – in short, he has nothing nice to say about the Leftists who have usurped the title “liberal” and debased it.

Well, he lays some smack-down on on the Leftist media in his latest column:

The Fanatics Who Tell Us the News

When Fox News Channel was founded by Rupert Murdoch, the consensus was that no startup all-news cable channel could possibly compete with CNN.

And if any startup had a chance, it was MSNBC, which had the combined clout of NBC’s esteemed news division and Microsoft, which in those days was believed to own the future.

Now, about a decade later, Fox News Channel has left both CNN and MSNBC in the dust.

There’s no guarantee that this is permanent, of course.

But it certainly has the Left in a panic. They hated it that American conservatism had any voice at all, back when it was confined to a few radio talk shows — remember how everybody wanted to blame Rush Limbaugh and other conservative talk-radio hosts for the Oklahoma City bombing?

I certainly do.

Read the whole piece – It beats the bloody equine corpse of media bias, but is still well worth your time.

I Love the Internet

Now that my Photobucket account has rolled into the next month, time to abuse my bandwidth privileges again. Two pictures stolen shamelessly off of AR15.com. First up, a revision of “Separated at Birth?”

I love the shot of Lurch!

Second, one I will display with no additional comment – it doesn’t need it:


Mike Spenis Blogs the World Through Rose-Colored Glasses

But it’s a beautiful picture he paints, and there’s much truth in it.

Just remember, Mike, it’s not all chirping birds and fluffy bunnies. As long as we understand that, things will keep improving.

Two generations ago tyranny swept the world. That’s no exaggeration; real, honest-to-god tyranny really did sweep over much of the earth. A generation ago we feared a nuclear holocaust. Now, we fear truck bombs and hijackings. We are in the cleanup phase of the great struggle for civilization, and civilization has won.

We have found the recipe; wealth and trade and freedom. All the big players are either on board now, or grudgingly getting with the program. China remains a vicious place, but it is growing softer with age, threatened less by war then by prosperity growing out of control. Russia now begs to join the EU. Socialism, like some human disease, weakens all that it touches and will gently extinguish itself in our children’s lifetime as the free world leaves it further behind.

Civilization hasn’t won yet. It does look like the inning’s almost over and we’re way ahead, but you discount the too-tight-turban crowd too much, I think. It only takes one asshole to shove a stick through the spokes of progress, and they’re the designated rectums.

Don’t relax too much. Things have a way of surprising us.

Governments, Criminals, and Dangerous Victims

(This is Part III of a series. Please read Part I, “It’s most important that all potential victims be as dangerous as they can”, and Part II, Violence and the Social Contract before proceeding.)

Alexander Tytler is credited, perhaps apocryphally, for this quotation:

A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves largesse from the public treasury. From that moment on the majority always votes for the candidate promising the most from the public treasury with the result that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy, always followed by dictatorship.

The average age of the world’s greatest civilizations has been 200 years. These nations have progressed through the following sequence:

From bondage to spiritual faith

From spiritual faith to great courage

From courage to liberty

From liberty to abundance

From abundance to selfishness

From selfishness to complacency

From complacency to apathy

From apathy to dependency

From dependency back again into bondage

I don’t know who actually said it, or when, but it echoes well another (probably apocryphal) quote attributed to Alexis de Tocqueville:

The American Republic will endure, until politicians realize they can bribe the people with their own money.

Benjamin Franklin, it is said, when asked what form of government the Constitutional Convention had settled on in Philadelphia in 1787 responded,

A republic, if you can keep it.

The eighteenth century saw the rise of the first truly representative government in the modern world. At the beginning of the nineteenth century the United States was one of the very few democratically-based governments in existence. Almost all others were hereditary monarchies or just plain dictatorships. Great Britain was a titular monarchy, but with legal restraints, and subject to the votes of the populace and the peerage. By the first quarter of the 20th century, the dominant model of government was some form of democracy – defined as a government that listens to and accomodates the populace which it serves through some form of popular vote. Colonialism was, for all intents and purposes, dead.

What made that possible? Democracies had risen in history before, but had fallen back into tyranny. Greece and Rome are but the two most famous examples. Democracy had never gained a solid foothold before, but suddenly (historically speaking) it sprung up worldwide. Industrialization had something to do with it. The world model of agriculture as the dominant economic engine had been replaced with industrial manufacturing and its supporting industry, mining. The natural resources needed now expanded beyond mere land. Now much more of what was beneath that land was valuable. And, as always, men fought to acquire that which was valuable.

The industrial revolution came to the aid of that, too. With the invention of useable, effective, inexpensive firearms, the professional soldier caste no longer held an advantage over the meanest serf – so long as that serf had a gun. All the training in swordsmanship and archery and the best plate mail were useless against a man with a matchlock and the meager skills required to use it. As technology progressed; the rifled musket, the MiniĆ© ball, the percussion cap, the metallic cartridge, the repeating arm, each step made it easier for the individual to be as lethal as his martial forebears. More lethal, in fact. A peasant with a scythe is an irritant to a landowner who commands a knight with a charger and a lance. When many peasants are angry and outnumber the knights, you have to pay attention to them, but one peasant with a musket is a problem of a different order entirely.

When the victims are dangerous, it changes the balance of the equation of power. The more dangerous they are, the more the balance changes.

After the American Revolution, and just a few years after the ratification of our Constitution, American jurist St. George Tucker wrote a review of American law called Blackstone’s Commentaries. It was first published in 1803, and on the topic of our Constitutionally recognized right to arms, Tucker had this to say:

This may be considered as the true palladium of liberty. . . . The right of self defence is the first law of nature: in most governments it has been the study of rulers to confine this right within the narrowest limits possible. Wherever standing armies are kept up, and the right of the people to keep and bear arms is, under any colour or pretext whatsoever, prohibited, liberty, if not already annihilated, is on the brink of destruction. In England, the people have been disarmed, generally, under the specious pretext of preserving the game: a never failing lure to bring over the landed aristocracy to support any measure, under that mask, though calculated for very different purposes. True it is, their bill of rights seems at first view to counteract this policy: but the right of bearing arms is confined to protestants, and the words suitable to their condition and degree, have been interpreted to authorise the prohibition of keeping a gun or other engine for the destruction of game, to any farmer, or inferior tradesman, or other person not qualified to kill game. So that not one man in five hundred can keep a gun in his house without being subject to a penalty.”

It seems that even then the English ruling class understood the problems that a dangerous victim represented. Well, it was understandable, given the results of the little dust-up that started in 1776.

It is, I believe, the firearm that is responsible for the level of individual freedom enjoyed in this modern world. It is, without a doubt, the tool used to inflict huge volumes of death and misery, but huge volumes of death and misery are historically unremarkable from long before there were firearms. As someone once noted, before there were firearms the world was run by large men with swords, and it was neither fair nor democratic. The difference is, firearms made the peasants dangerous. It’s much less expensive to conscript peasants, instruct them in organized drill, teach them to load, aim, and fire a gun and send them off to battle than it is to pay for a professional mercenary army – especially when your conscripts, properly led, can beat that professional mercenary army.

But there’s a drawback to that, if you happen to be the Head Muther%*$^er in Charge – once you train those peasants, you can’t untrain them. And guns are not a particularly difficult technology. That’s what makes them so attractive in the first place. That makes tax collecting a bit more sporting as it were. So the next time you want to raise their taxes, or take their property (or their daughters), you have to consider how they feel about that.

Unless you can disarm them.

The same condition holds true if your intention is merely to steal retail, as an individual, rather than wholesale, as a government. If your victim isn’t dangerous, you needn’t take his objections into consideration.

Representative government is the result of dangerous victims. The ability to object – and make that objection hurt, is the source of the power of the individual within the State. Guns gave that power to the previously powerless, no other technology, and that power was used to build governments that listened. Governments that don’t listen still exist, and use guns to maintain their own power. Mao’s famous quote is absolutely on the money:

Political power grows out of the barrel of a gun.

And it explains precisely why totalitarian governments are very careful about who they allow to possess arms, and who they don’t.

The pacifist philosophy holds that non-violence is the moral choice, that violence is wrong. But violence exists, everywhere. It is violence that leads us to organize politically, for only through organization can we effectively resist the predation of others. It is through violence that society exists, for as Rev. Sensing noted, “government stays in power by violence or its threat and the threat is meaningless unless it can be and is employed”. If the government cannot threaten arrest, trial, and incarceration (or worse) for violation of the laws of society – and carry that threat out – then there is no society, there is anarchy – the anarchy we join into societies to counter. We, the citizens, agree to the laws of our society and follow them because we believe them just. We condone the use of violence to enforce those laws because, in the main, the government serves to protect our rights and our property against those who would usurp them.

In any group of people, however, there are always those who will not follow the rules of the society – the criminals. Certainly, if those criminals are armed they are more destructive that they would be unarmed, but there is no way to disarm the criminals without disarming the whole populace. Even then the level of success in disarming the criminal is only one of degree. It may be possible to deny a criminal a firearm, but that simply puts the society back at the “large men with swords” level. The pacifist philosophy that attempts to disarm the populace “for its own good” does no such thing. It merely renders that society more at risk, not less. And more, it places that society back at the mercy of a government that may or may not protect the rights and property of its citizens.

Because the victims won’t be dangerous any longer.

St. George Tucker was right: The right to self defense is the first law of nature, and the right to arms is the palladium of liberty, against both criminal and tyrant. And Tytler may be correct that the pattern of history is for a free people to give up their freedom and descend once again into bondage, but so long as the people retain their arms, they may retain their liberty, or at least make their objection hurt. It is the deterrent effect of an armed populace that causes tyrants to pause and reconsider the balance of power equation. Ninth Circuit Court Judge Alex Kozinski wrote in his dissent to the recent Silveria v. Lockyer decision,

The Second Amendment is a doomsday provision, one designed for those exceptionally rare circumstances where all other rights have failed – where the government refuses to stand for reelection and silences those who protest; where courts have lost the courage to oppose, or can find no one to enforce their decrees. However improbable these contingencies may seem today, facing them unprepared is a mistake a free people get to make only once.

Guns in the hands of citizens means carnage and mayhem. Guns in the exclusive control of criminals and government risks far worse.

It is a better choice by far to have dangerous victims rather than powerless ones.

More on this here.

Original comment thread (thanks to the herculean efforts of reader John Hardin) are available here.

Depending On the Government for Your Protection

Reader Doug Sundseth sent the links this charming gun control success story:

Police accused of waiting too long over barbecue shootings

A police force was accused yesterday of waiting too long to act after a shooting at a family barbecue left two sisters dead. One witness claimed that their lives could have been saved.

Roy Gibson, 70, said he spent an hour waiting for help to arrive as he tried to save one of the women. Paramedics were prevented from entering until Thames Valley Police had completed a one-hour assessment of any further risk to life.

By the time police decided it was safe for armed officers and ambulance crews to go in, Vicky Horgan, 27, a mother-of-two, had died. Her sister, Emma Walton, 25, died a short while later from her wounds. Their mother, Jacqueline Bailey, 55, who was also shot, was in a serious condition in hospital last night.

The incident was witnessed by Mrs Horgan’s daughters Bobbie Jayne, five, and seven-year-old Jade.

Mr Gibson, a neighbour who, with his wife Georgina, 58, tried to treat the wounded, said there was a chance both women could have been saved had they received medical attention earlier.

It’s called the “golden hour” – the hour immediately after a serious injury, when caring for the injury is critical to the victim’s survival.

Is the English government so terrified of armed assailants that it can no longer determine when a risk of life and limb is justified? Here’s the BBC’s version of the story. Money quote:

South Oxfordshire Area Commander Superintendent Jill Simpson said that police had to hold back ambulance crews for one hour in order to assess the “level of danger”.

She said: “Firearms operations demand a calculated response in order to safeguard any members of the public who could be at risk as well as the officers and other emergency service personnel who could be at the scene.”

Apparently the answer is “yes.”

What the hell happened to the dry, understated “spot of bother,” the “stiff upper lip?” “Mad dogs and Englishmen?” They appear more and more to be whipped curs with cold sweat-beaded lips aquiver.

Would FDNY paramedics hold back for an hour? Would NYPD officers hold them back? Or would they sweep in and guard the paramedics?

What happened to the country that produced Churchill? Are the only “civil servants” with a spine in that country in the military? Or is it just the policy makers who can’t bear a risk anymore, and the subjects – indoctrinated for decades – blindly follow?

Sweet weeping jebus.

Update, 6/9: Doug Sundseth emailed me his comments on this piece because they’re too long for Haloscan:

The one quote that I found most striking was:

[Mr. Gibson] said: “Vicky took her last breath as we tried to comfort her. There was no ambulance and no police officer with us, despite my repeated reassurances to officers that the gunman had long since fled. I think there is a very real chance that Vicky and Emma could have been saved if the paramedics had been allowed to the scene.”

The concern of the police seems to have been that Mr. Gibson might have been forced to lie. So how many times has that happened?

Rescue personnel commonly assume risk in saving people from sinking ships, floods, burning buildings, whatever. They work to reduce that risk through training, but the risk never disappears entirely. Clearly, there are some situations so dangerous as to not warrant the risk of yet more lives, but that decision is made based on the individual circumstances of a rescue.

The police on this scene (by inclination or policy) so overestimated the risk of an idiot with a gun that the mere possibility of his continued presence prevented them from saving lives. I see this as yet another complete misunderstanding of the actual danger of firearms.

Let’s look at the risks and take some WAGs at their probabilities:

1) Trained rescue people on scene reported that there was no gunman present. There is a very small possibility that they could have been coerced or mistaken. P(risk) ~ .05

2) Most shots in these sorts of emotional situations miss. P(risk) ~ .25

3) Most dangerous shots hit the body armor of armored responders. P(risk) ~ .25

4) Most shots that don’t hit the body armor are entirely survivable. P(risk) ~ .1

If we use my (WAG) risk numbers, P(death) is somewhere near .03125%, or 1 in 3200. Can you imagine a fireman or Coast Guardsman (unofficial motto: “You have to go out; you don’t have to come back) refusing to take such a risk?

Jasen is right that the same calculus applies to Columbine. I’d put the risk higher there, but the risk to innocents was higher too.

I don’t know whether the cowardice was institutional or personal (I suspect the former), but that is only of relevance when deciding who needs to be fired.

Good points, Doug. And I concur.

I also predict that no one will be fired, or even reprimanded.

Well, This is Graphic

It seems that Steven Den Beste has stirred up a bit of a hornet’s nest, and he’s tired of the subject. However his description of the level of irritation struck me, and I think I’m going to have to add that to my list of quotes to remember:

The needle on the annoyance meter is currently pointing to “fingernails on chalkboard” and beginning to move towards “Chirac”.

‘Leave her alone or I’ll shoot you right between the shoulders’

Another reason to respect Ronnie, though he should have kept some ammo:

Reagan Was Hero To Iowa Woman

Nursing Student Rescued From Mugger By Reagan

Former President Ronald Reagan is known as the “Great Communicator,” but one Iowa woman will always know him as her hero.

Melba King was a 22-year-old nursing student in Des Moines in 1933. She was walking home one autumn night when a mugger came up behind her with a gun and demanded her money.

At that moment, Ronald Reagan — who was a Des Moines radio sportscaster at the time — came to her rescue. Reagan pointed a .45-caliber revolver at the robber from the window of his second-floor rented room.

“And he said, ‘Leave her alone or I’ll shoot you right between the shoulders,'” King told KCCI.

Reagan scared the man off and calmed King’s nerves. Then, the future president said he would walk King home.

King didn’t see Reagan again until 1984, when Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad heard her story and invited her to an Iowa caucus campaign event (pictured, above left).

After King and Reagan hugged on stage, Reagan laughed, and said to the crowd, “This is the first time I’ve had a chance to tell you the gun was empty. I didn’t have any cartridges. If he hadn’t run when I told him to, I was going to have to throw it at him.”

King’s rescue became a national news story. “The phone rang constantly,” King said.

All the media attention caused Reagan and King to stay in touch. The two families exchanged cards on birthdays, holidays, and during times of sickness and grief.

The Reagans helped King when she lost her husband Harold in 1987, and now she will send Nancy Reagan a sympathy note.